Nov 2019 Points System Change – Chance of 189 Invite

Chance of 189 PR reduces by 42% with less number of invites available starting July 2019. Software Engineer 2613 and 2631 category need 75 points to get PR now.

Written by Anil Gupta
  By Anil Gupta          Updated  6 Jan, 20

  66    


Nov 2019 Immigration Points System Changes

Spouse age should be less than 45.

SpousePoints
Single (Un-married)10
Spouse is Australian Citizen or PR holder10
Spouse has Positive Skill Assessment and competent English10
Spouse has no Skill Assessment but competent English5
Other Cases0

EOI Ranking Order

A new ranking order will be implemented starting Nov 2019 if multiple EOIs have same number of points.

  1. Married with a skilled spouse (Spouse 10 points category).
  2. Single or un-married (Spouse 10 points category).
  3. EOI with spouse’s competent English but no skills for skilled partner points (age and skills – Spouse 5 points category).
  4. Primary applicants with a partner who is ineligible for either competent English or Skilled partner points. These applicants will be ranked lowest.

As per immigration consultants Iscah, 66% of PR applications have a spouse and 34% are single applicants.

This means that about one third of EOIs will gain 10 points immediately and leave the family applicants behind unless you have a working spouse.

Chance of Invite after Nov 2019 Spouse Points New System

You will find it difficult to get an invitation if you cannot claim spouse points after November 2019 as married people with working spouse will automatically get 5 extra points as compared to today.

Single applicants will gain the most by jumping ahead in queue with 10 points immediately and will have much better chance of invite than today.

If your Spouse has functional English today, I recommend to to improve the score and try to get at-least to competent level to fetch 5 points.

Will I gain spouse points in Nov 2019?

5 Points: You will gain 5 spouse points if your spouse has competent English score (IELTS 6, 6, 6, 6 or PTE 50 in each).

10 Points: If your spouse has ANZSCO code in same occupation list as you and has positive assessment along with competent English score, you will get 10 points.

10 Points: If you are single and ready to mingle.

10 Points: If you marry an Australian Citizen or Permanent Resident.

0 Points: If your spouse does not fall in any of above cases.

489 Visa being Replaced by 491 Visa

489 Visa category will be completely stopped on Nov 16, 2019 and will be replaced by new visa called 491.

If you do not get an an invite in 489 by November, your 489 EOI will be useless.

189 PR Invite quota reduced by 42%

Number of invites available under subclass 189 visa has been reduced from existing 43,990 to 18,652 which account for about 42% reduction in their yearly Australian PR migration numbers for FY 2019 – 2020.

 

Effect of 189 Invite Reduction on Software Category

If we reduce the number of 189 invites available in year 2018-2019 for ANZSCO codes in category 2613 and 2631, we reach at these new figures for year 2019-2020:

189 number of invites available20192020
2613 – Software and Applications Programmers7,2713,053
2631 – Computer Network Professionals2,167910
2611 – ICT Business and Systems Analysts1,466850

The new quota will be available staring July 2019 Australia PR draw.

Effect of New 189 PR limits on existing EOI applications

The current pending or Australia EOI applications that are waiting for an invite will be affected if you can’t get an invite before July 2019 in the remaining draws.

The new number for 189 PR also includes the New Zealand citizen 189 quota as well.

Example:

#1 Software Engineer – 2613

As per current trends, 2613 EOI with 70 points filed have very low chances of invite.

Increase your points to 75 to have any realistic chance of invite in season 2020.

#2 ICT Business and Systems Analysts – 2611, 2631

Similarly, for ANZSCO codes in 2611 – ICT Business and Systems Analysts and 2631 – Computer Network Professionals, the minimum points required to get an invite have increased to 80 starting July this year. The chance of invite with 70 or lower points have diminished even with a waiting period.

Did you know that you can keep your current employment date BLANK while filing Australia EOI and let the work experience increase automatically to help get more points?

 

190 and 489 Invites are not affected

The reduction in 189 quota numbers does not affect the 190 state sponsored and 489 sponsored invitation numbers. You can still receive state invite if you have good points (normally the highest in your job code) and your job is in demand in the state.

Source: Australia MigrationĀ 


Australia
 



  66 Useful Questions & Answers

  1. Rima K
    Rima K 31 Jul, 19 at 12:28 am

    Hi Anil,
    I have lodged EOI on 25th May at 75 points for 261313 for subclass 189. When can I expect invite?


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 31 Jul, 19 at 11:03 am

      You may get an invite by Dec 2019.


  2. pd431
    pd431 31 Jul, 19 at 12:05 am

    Hi,
    I am applying with my spouse and we both are applying for 2611 (Business and System Analyst). Current score is 70. Going to submit EoI in couple of days. What are the chances of getting an invite for 189 visa? Also as new rules are going to be effective from 16th November 2019. What will be the effect on existing applications?


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 31 Jul, 19 at 11:03 am

      There is no chance of invite with 70 points at this time. I have given the affect of new system in above article. Please read and help yourself.


  3. Komal Ashwin Jani
    Komal Ashwin Jani 30 Jul, 19 at 7:47 pm

    Hi Anil,

    I have 75 pts and genereated EOI on 24th April 2019 with occupation 2621112: ICT Security Specialist. When whould I expect my invitation?

    Thank you in advance

    Regards,
    Komal


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 31 Jul, 19 at 11:03 am

      You may get an invite by Nov 2019.


  4. TRAN MANH VU
    TRAN MANH VU 30 Jul, 19 at 9:29 am

    Hi Anil. I will have 75 pts in mid of September and will have 80 pts as my spouse will have extra 5 pts in November. Do I have any chance to receive an invitation for visa 189 with the University Lecturer 242111? Thanks.


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 30 Jul, 19 at 2:45 pm

      You have good chance of invite.


      • TRAN MANH VU
        TRAN MANH VU 30 Jul, 19 at 7:03 pm

        Can you estimate which round?


        • Anil Gupta
          Anil Gupta 31 Jul, 19 at 11:03 am

          First, let your points reach 75 in September. The invite estimates change with each draw.


  5. Sadaf
    Sadaf 29 Jul, 19 at 10:02 am

    Hi dear Anil. I will be 75 point for visa189 by end of September 2019. For software engineering(2613) when I will have chance of invitation? Thx so much


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 29 Jul, 19 at 5:12 pm

      I think you will have chance of invitation with 75 point for 2613 by May 2020 if you get 75 points in September 2919.


  6. Gunjan Sachdeva
    Gunjan Sachdeva 29 Jul, 19 at 9:09 am

    With the reduction what are the realistic chances of getting the invite in 262112 ICT Security Specialist with 75 points in 189. EOI submitted on 26th July 2019. What are the chances of the invite with Victoria Nomination with 80 points


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 29 Jul, 19 at 5:12 pm

      You can expect an invite for 262112 with 75 points by Jan 2020.


  7. Adarsh
    Adarsh 29 Jul, 19 at 3:09 am

    Hi Anil, My date of effect is 16/10/2018, I am at 75 points for 261111, When can i Expect my visa. Do i have any chance at 75 points


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 29 Jul, 19 at 5:12 pm

      Chances are low for an invite for 261111 with 75 points at this time.

      I suggest to increase points to at-least 80 to have realistic chance.


  8. vinod
    vinod 26 Jul, 19 at 11:26 pm

    Hi anil…my date of effect is 20july 2019 i have 75 points in 189 for 261312 stream…when can i expect my
    invitation??Can I expect before November.


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 27 Jul, 19 at 2:44 pm

      Chances are low for an invite before Nov 2019 with 75 points for 261312.


      • vinod
        vinod 28 Jul, 19 at 12:45 am

        Thank you anil


        • vinod
          vinod 31 Jul, 19 at 8:45 pm

          Hi Anil, what are the changes for 189 visa after November 16.


          • Anil Gupta
            Anil Gupta 31 Jul, 19 at 9:14 pm

            Please read the article above. It lists all the changes.


      • vinod
        vinod 28 Jul, 19 at 12:45 am

        what are the chances of invitation for 190 Visa??with 80 points for 261312


        • Anil Gupta
          Anil Gupta 28 Jul, 19 at 9:15 am

          Depends on which state you are talking about.
          NSW has added the criteria that only people staying in NSW will be invited for 261312. So, i think only Victoria is left and you have good chance of invite there.


          • Vinod
            Vinod 30 Jul, 19 at 10:07 pm

            Hi Anil, what are chances for 189 visa after November 16.


          • vinod
            vinod 31 Jul, 19 at 8:45 pm

            HI Anil, what are the changes for 189 visa after November 16.


  9. sakshi gupta
    sakshi gupta 24 Jul, 19 at 8:26 am

    Hi anil…my date of effect is 27th April 2019 i have 75 points in 189 cat and 80 points in 190 cat for 2613 stream…when can i expect my invitation??


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 24 Jul, 19 at 7:43 pm

      Expect an invite by Oct 2019 draw.


      • sakshi gupta
        sakshi gupta 25 Jul, 19 at 3:28 am

        Thanks for the quick reply. I just wanted to ask you any chances before that?? N what are the chances of invitation for 190 Visa??

        Regards
        Sakshi


  10. Soumya Mukherjee
    Soumya Mukherjee 24 Jul, 19 at 6:01 am

    Hi Anil,

    I have submitted my EOI on 13th March 2019 under the job code 261312. My points claim was 75. Could you please let me know by when I can expect the invitation.

    Thanks
    Soumya Mukherjee


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 24 Jul, 19 at 7:08 am

      You may get an invite by September 2019 with 75 points for 261312.


      • Soumya Mukherjee
        Soumya Mukherjee 24 Jul, 19 at 7:54 am

        Thanks Anil for the prompt reply. After I submit my PR application how long does it take to get the grant letter. Also within what time frame after getting the grant I need to travel to AUS?? Does it depend on the date of grant or on the date on which the medical was done?


  11. Rex Joseph
    Rex Joseph 22 Jul, 19 at 1:32 am

    Now that the July draw results are out can you give me an idea on the same?


  12. Rex Joseph
    Rex Joseph 22 Jul, 19 at 8:51 am

    Feb 2019?


  13. Anil Gupta
    Anil Gupta 22 Jul, 19 at 10:16 am

    2020


  14. Rex Joseph
    Rex Joseph 22 Jul, 19 at 11:37 am

    Sorry, didn’t see the 2020. One more question. Even if there were only 57 invites out of the total 2228 occupation ceiling last year and 0 invites yet on the 1832 occupation ceiling of 2019-2020 for the ANZSCO code 2723 I’ll probably have to wait for almost 6 months after filing the EOI to get an invite with 70 points?
    Thanks in advance


  15. Anil Gupta
    Anil Gupta 22 Jul, 19 at 8:22 am

    It is just a speculation if you have not filed your EOI yet.

    Assuming you file the EOI at end of August 2019, you may or may not get an invite by Feb 2020 with 70 points. I strongly suggest to increase your points to at-least 75 to have any realistic chance.


  16. Anil Gupta
    Anil Gupta 22 Jul, 19 at 12:39 pm

    I said ‘may or may not’ as there is no guarantee that you will get an invite with 70 points at this time. The last cut off was 80 points on 11 July 2019.