EB2 Priority Date Oct 2019 – Employment Based
Check next visa bulletin predictions for EB2 India collected from Charles Oppenheim.
|August||Date of Filing||Final Action|
|EB1 India||15 Mar 17||1 Jan 15|
|EB2 India||1 Jul 09||12 May 09|
|EB3 India||1 Feb 10||1 Jan 09|
USCIS has started the use of ‘Date of filing’ chart in October 2019 Visa Bulletin.
EB2 India Predictions Green Card Wait Time
If your employment based green card priority date is July 2009, you have already waited for close to 10 years at this time. The date is NOT expected to be current anytime in near 2-3 years.
This makes the waiting time for anyone already in the EB2 Indian queue at-least 20 years. The maximum is expected to be 151 years and average is about 40 years for an India born skilled worker filing their US Green Card PERMtoday in 2018.
Indians waiting for GC Priority Date in 2019
|GC Issued 2017||13,082||2,879||6,641|
|Projected Wait||6 Yrs||151 Yrs||17 Yrs|
NOTE: Dependents = Spouse and Children (less than 21 years age). As per USCIS estimates, EB1 dependents = 1.4 of primary. EB2 dependents = primary numbers, EB3 dependents = 1.1 of primary.
EB-1: Extraordinary ability, EB-2: Advanced degrees, EB-3: Bachelor’s degrees
Indian green card queue waiting numbers issued by USCIS If the same amount of 2879 Green cards are issued to EB2 India every year from now, which seems like a case without any carryover form other categories, the Indian EB2 skilled worker has a wait of about 151 years (433,368/2,879 = 151 years).
H1B Green card with US born citizen Kid?
Unless the US Immigration law is changed, to remove country based GC limits with law like HR 392, there is NO real possibility of any Indian joining the EB2 Green card queue, to get Green card in his/her lifetime.
To circumvent this 150 year wait, your Adult US citizen child can sponsor you once he/she turns 21. This will give you Green card immediately as there is neither any yearly limit nor any priority date waiting for immediate relatives of US citizens.
India EB2 to EB3 downgrades possible With EB3 Indian GC queue moving ahead faster than EB2 starting October 2018 visa bulletin, the chances are very high that EB2s will start jumping the ship to EB3 as has been the case with Chinese Queue.
The same EB3 people who moved from EB3 to EB2 to get faster green card will see downward movement now. The US immigration law is crazy!
PERM filings are increasing Year on Year
The PERM filings are stuffing the already backlogged Indian EB2 Green Card queue. Normally, if there are Green Cards left in EB1 category, they spill over to EB2. But, with current trend where EB1 itself is backlogged, EB2 India is just left with 2,879 (as per report for FY 2017).
To add salt to the misery, each employment based green card is counted separately for each H1B or any other immigrant family member.
This means that if you filed Employment based GC, your dependent wife, your dependent kid will be counted too in the EB2 number 2879.
If you take an average family size of 3, the total employment based GC’s would come down to mere 959 !!! With only 959 Green cards issued every year to EB2 India in 2018, do you think that you will ever get to see that prized card in your life time?
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This happens due to the EB3 to EB2 upgrades every year. EB3 becomes eligible for upgrade after 5 years of work experience.
EB2 India Predictions Green card is 20 to 70 years
India Green Card backlog Survey
EB2 is the most preferred category for Indian H1B workers to file Green Card.
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