EB2 India GC Wait 20 yrs Average, 151 Yrs Worst Case

EB2 India Predictions for Green card is average of 20 years with worst case as 151 years wait time. 2879 GC issued to EB2 India in 2017-18 counted separately for each person.

Written by Anil Gupta
  By Anil Gupta          Updated  12 Jul, 19


EB2 Priority Date Aug 2019 – Employment Based

EB1 India remains unchanged in Aug with no movement. EB2 stepped ahead for just 8 days.

EB3 moves back big time with 3.5 years.

Check next visa bulletin predictions for EB2 India collected from Charles Oppenheim.

AugustDate of FilingFinal Action
EB1 India1 Oct 17 (No change)1 Jan 15 (+0 days)
EB2 India1 Jun 09 (No Change)2 May 09 (+8 days)
EB3 India1 Apr 10 (No Change)1 Jan 06 (-3.5 yr)

USCIS has stopped the use of ‘Date of filing’ chart in February 2019 Visa Bulletin.

EB2 India Predictions Green Card Wait Time

If your employment based green card priority date is July 2009, you have already waited for close to 10 years at this time. The date is NOT expected to be current anytime in near 2-3 years.

This makes the waiting time for anyone already in the EB2 Indian queue at-least 20 years. The maximum is expected to be 151 years and average is about 40 years for an India born skilled worker filing their US Green Card PERMtoday in 2018.

Indians waiting for GC Priority Date in 2019

GC Issued 201713,0822,8796,641
Projected Wait6 Yrs151 Yrs17 Yrs

NOTE: Dependents = Spouse and Children (less than 21 years age). As per USCIS estimates, EB1 dependents = 1.4 of primary. EB2 dependents = primary numbers, EB3 dependents = 1.1 of primary.

EB-1: Extraordinary ability, EB-2: Advanced degrees, EB-3: Bachelor’s degrees

Source USCIS in May 2018 and travel.state.gov.

Indian green card queue waiting numbers issued by USCIS

Indian green card queue waiting numbers issued by USCIS If the same amount of 2879 Green cards are issued to EB2 India every year from now, which seems like a case without any carryover form other categories, the Indian EB2 skilled worker has a wait of about 151 years (433,368/2,879 = 151 years).

Related: Current USCIS H1B processing time – Updated Daily

Indian EB2 green card wait 151 years Indian EB2 green card wait 151 years

H1B Green card with US born citizen Kid?

Unless the US Immigration law is changed, to remove country based GC limits with law like HR 392, there is NO real possibility of any Indian joining the EB2 Green card queue, to get Green card in his/her lifetime.

To circumvent this 150 year wait, your Adult US citizen child can sponsor you once he/she turns 21. This will give you Green card immediately as there is neither any yearly limit nor any priority date waiting for immediate relatives of US citizens.

India EB2 to EB3 downgrades possible With EB3 Indian GC queue moving ahead faster than EB2 starting October 2018 visa bulletin, the chances are very high that EB2s will start jumping the ship to EB3 as has been the case with Chinese Queue.

The same EB3 people who moved from EB3 to EB2 to get faster green card will see downward movement now. The US immigration law is crazy!

EB2 Indian can downgrade to EB3 easily.

PERM filings are increasing Year on Year

The PERM filings are stuffing the already backlogged Indian EB2 Green Card queue. Normally, if there are Green Cards left in EB1 category, they spill over to EB2. But, with current trend where EB1 itself is backlogged, EB2 India is just left with 2,879 (as per report for FY 2017).

To add salt to the misery, each employment based green card is counted separately for each H1B or any other immigrant family member.
This means that if you filed Employment based GC, your dependent wife, your dependent kid will be counted too in the EB2 number 2879.

If you take an average family size of 3, the total employment based GC’s would come down to mere 959 !!! With only 959 Green cards issued every year to EB2 India in 2018, do you think that you will ever get to see that prized card in your life time?

This happens due to the EB3 to EB2 upgrades every year. EB3 becomes eligible for upgrade after 5 years of work experience.

EB2 India Predictions Green card is 20 to 70 years

India Green Card backlog Survey

EB2 is the most preferred category for Indian H1B workers to file Green Card.

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   134 Useful Questions & Answers from comments

  1. Som Gupta
    Som Gupta 12 Jul, 19 at 8:38 am

    Hi Anil
    When could we expect July 11 2010 Eb2 India to become current


  2. Naga G
    Naga G 17 Jun, 19 at 11:57 am

    Hi , Quick prediction question – When do you think the DF chart for EB3-India will open up again ?


    • Naga G
      Naga G 9 Jul, 19 at 3:35 pm

      ? Just checking.


  3. Santosh Asbe
    Santosh Asbe 30 May, 19 at 2:20 pm

    My i140 is approved with date of 20-Dec-18.
    I am confused on Date of filing and Final action date. Which one should i follow to apply AOS.


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 30 May, 19 at 9:58 pm

      Date of filing can be used to file i485.


  4. Aggdoc
    Aggdoc 29 May, 19 at 10:43 pm

    Hello! My Eb1-b I140 approved recently. Priority date is Jan 2015. Does this mean I need to wait for more than 4 years to file for 485? :(. Whats the expected trend for Eb-1 (india)? Thank you in advance…


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 30 May, 19 at 7:49 am

      Wait times are increasing for EB1 this year. I am not sure how much it will take for your date to get current. You cannot file i485 unless the date is current.


  5. H1BWorker
    H1BWorker 24 May, 19 at 6:06 pm

    My priority date is Sept 2010 (Currently EB2). Should I wait in EB2 or downgrade to EB3?


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 24 May, 19 at 6:36 pm

      I suggest to wait for your EB2 date to get getting in EB3 and then take any action.


  6. Bala
    Bala 14 May, 19 at 11:08 pm

    Eb3 July 22 2009 When will it become current or when can I file?


    • Anil Gupta
      Anil Gupta 15 May, 19 at 8:40 am

      I do not know when will July 22, 2009 get current. I know it is frustrating to have waited so long and being so close to green card date.
      But, 22 days can still feel file like a year.


  7. Moiz
    Moiz 6 May, 19 at 12:35 pm

    My priority date is Sept 15th 2011 under EB3, When will it become current or when can I file?


  8. Indra kumar Anandan
    Indra kumar Anandan 25 Apr, 19 at 8:06 pm

    Hi Anil,

    My priority date is May 22, 2009, I changed employer 3 years ago, when do you think I will be current. on EB2.


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